Friday, October 22, 2010

FII inflows could take mkts up further: Nomura

Here is expert equity call for the day on how the markets are expected to trade:


FII inflows continue to be strong and are a big relief and could take the markets up further before a correction. Even though the market is fundamentally expensive, we advise not taking cash calls and rather running a diversified portfolio.

We are the Best share market tips and stock tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume

Fed likely to embark on another round of QE: Citi

Here is expert equity call for the day on how the markets are expected to trade:


Markus Rosgen, Citi: The Fed is likely to embark on another round of quantitative easing to help ensure the economic recovery and create jobs. A consequence of this extraordinary policy is a weaker dollar. The Dollar Index is now close to 40-year lows. Further dollar weakness should be positive for Emerging Market equities. We have upgraded China to Overweight and India to Neutral.

We are the Best share market tips and stock tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume

Buy when markets correct 510%: StanChart Cap Markets

Though markets have managed to float above the alarming levels, experts foresee an impending correction.


Markets may dip 5-10% and has advised to use corrections as a buying opportunity.


"If you look at six-12 months from now, I am fairly positive on the market. What you would find from time to time is profit taking maybe a bit of consolidation but I am not looking for significant pullbacks, 5-10% is the most likely pullbacks. Those will be periods of accumulation opportunities," he explained.


According to Kumar, both commodities and earnings of companies will continue to support markets.


Kumar also added that cement valuations are reasonable with a two-yr perspective.


Q: What is your sense ? are we bracing ourselves for a bit of a cut out here or do you think it is a pause before the rally resumes again?


A: I think the market is in good shape. If you look at six-12 months from now, I am fairly positive on the market. I am not looking for significant pullbacks, 5-10% is the most likely pullbacks you will see from time to time on profit taking and other factors. Those will be periods of accumulation opportunities.


Q: What did you make of the staggering USD 37 billion that we got for Coal India? Does it instill some more confidence and the kind of money that the markets can raise?


A: Absolutely. You have much bigger scale fundraisings done in other emerging markets in the recent past be it China or Brazil. But this level of interest, which has come into such a large size issue, is a good indication that India is now mainstream. As far as global flows are concerned and the issues are there, if they are good quality issue prices reasonably it is going to see a lot of attraction in terms of global flows.


Q: There has been a lot of attention on the last couple of sessions about what?s going on in China, whether rates might harden and whether commodities might get dented back. Do you see any of these as risks going forward or do you think its incremental global noise which will not lead to or induce any major correction?


A: I don?t think it will induce a major correction but what has happened in the last couple of quarters, is that India has got more than a proportionate share of the global flows. As the growth recovery happens and as China also attracts little bit more attention, it is very well possible that some of the attention could also be diverted towards China.


On a sustainable basis, I do not see it causing a deep correction. On the commodity front, it?s important to point out that we have an extremely positive view on the commodity sector over the next couple of years. Commodities will continue to do well and that is something which maybe a bit of a dampener in some of the other sectors but aggregate on an overall basis, is not going to be something which is going to be a reason for major concern for the Indian market.


Q: In the medium-term, how do you see the markets pan out? Post this 5-10% correction that the markets will digest, do you think we can take it to new highs?


A: Yes. Absolutely. The concept of new highs or record levels, to some extent, in a growth market should be natural, that over a period of time we keep creating new highs. If you look at the macro over the next couple of years, that looks pretty strong. Some of the growth drivers are in place.


This financial year is also going to be the year of transition when the growth drivers are shifting from some of the one-off factors like the government stimulus etc to more structural factors like capex etc. The next couple of years look fairly strong to me on the macro side and that should give you around 20% earnings growth which is what is going to underpin returns from our equities market.


Q: What have you made of earnings season so far? Do you think for the next couple of quarters before this fiscal is out, earnings will remain supportive to equities heading higher?


A: Yes, earnings will remain supportive. What you will find is in some of the sectors where the bottoming out of earnings is yet to happen and in fact one such sector we are quite positive on is cement.


We think, between this quarter and the next quarter, the fundamentals and earnings will bottom out, so that in a market which has come back up to 20,000 where value is becoming increasingly difficult to find, I think that is one sector where you still have mid-cycle valuations. But broadly on an overall basis, earnings will be supportive not just for the next two quarters but for the next two years.


Q: We did some correction in commodities stocks yesterday, mostly all of the metal stocks. If you are bullish on commodities, do you still think there is value? Should you be using these bouts of weakness to accumulate?


A: Yes. That is our view and that is our global view as well. Across the resource sector, we see sustained strength over the next couple of years more particularly in copper, iron ore and coal as well. Most of these consolidation or profit taking events or situations in the market would be an opportunity to accumulate the resources sector.


Q: From the heavy weights, where else would you deploy your money in terms of sectors and which sectors you think could really take the markets higher now?


A: In terms of a house view, a couple of sectors that we pointed out to are cement and autos. It will take another quarter or so for cement to bottom out. That is typically the time to accumulate those sorts of sectors. Autos are in a sustained trend and that will continue.


If you look from the recent underperformer?s category, over the last six-12 months, real estate has been one of those underperformer sectors. A little bit of volume and price momentum comes back into the sector and you will find that real estate could be one of the sectors which will have a better performance over the next three-six months.


On a longer term basis, in the next one-two years or beyond, some of the sectors like financials remain as one of the absolute core holdings to own in this kind of a macro environment as well as in the market with the liquidity that we are seeing. That is one sector, which has the potential to take in and absorb a lot of liquidity, as well as benefit from broader macro growth performance that you are going to see in India at least over the next two years.

We are the Best share market tips and stock tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume

Focus on quality, dividends as themes: Morgan Stanley

Here is expert equity call for the day on how the markets are expected to trade:


Jonathan Garner, Morgan Stanley Asia: MSCI Emerging Market has traded above our 2010-end base case target price. We have reduced our equities Overweight to 4% from 6% and raised our cash weight. This removes the increase in equities weight we made at the end of May. We recommend focusing on quality and dividends as themes and in our focus lists reduced beta in Asia-Pacific ex-Japan.

We are the Best share market tips and stock tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume

Coal India IPO to see strong retail demand: Raamdeo Agrawal

The initial public offer (IPO) of Coal India received an overwhelming response from institutional bidders while today is the last bidding day for retail and high net worth individuals (HNIs).


According to Raamdeo Agrawal of Motilal Oswal it will see huge participation from the retail side too.On the overall markets, he noted that cash market volumes have started improving from September. However, he is a little cautious on earnings. He thinks that there might be some bad earnings towards the end.


Agrawal is bullish on auto sector in the both 2-wheeler and 4-wheeler spaces.


Q: What did you make of the Coal India subscription and do you think retail and HNI will follow with oversubscription today?


A: I am sure there is lot of excitement. I am getting lot of calls from many places?whether to go ahead and buy in. We should get some surprising number in terms of subscription from every segment. It?s a bumper thing.


Q: You think they left enough value on the table. What is your sense of fair value there?


A: Firstly, it is that its world?s largest mining company. India?s third largest coal reserve company in the world and they have literally monopoly on that. We are energy short and our dependence on coal is very high. We have a large land mass so even if imported coal comes to the sea coast it becomes difficult to take to deep northern and eastern parts. They have their own competitive advantage vis-?-vis imported coal. It?s a terrific story. Of course, we know all the issues about their weakness but once it goes public that itself is going to help the company bring in more efficiency, more transparency. I remain positive on this particular stock.


Q: Your quarter-on-quarter broking revenues are sort of flattish?up 2% but cash market volumes are going up. You are not seeing any great traction as more and more cash market volumes pickup in your brokerage income?


A: Actually cash market volume is most significant part of the broking revenue in our kind of revenues. We saw only in last month?that is September?some traction in participation by the retail. Even October is somewhat better but very big increase in volume is yet to come through whereas expenses are much more fixed in character. So when you open new offices and hire new employees the expenses keep going up. So the operating leverage for broking business is working in reverse at this point of time.


Q: How are you positioning yourself as a brokerage at this point of time because the market is approaching new highs, domestic participants have sort of been skittish so far. Are you investing in the business hoping that retail and HNI interest will grow over time or you want to see the first signs of big participation coming back before you do that?


A: The investment in business?expansion of distribution, expanding the infra stream coming out with newer products, even in AMC we have launched new product despite all the headwinds we have in the business?so we are going all out in terms of whatever we can do and what we think is right because we know we cannot time the market. We cannot time the investors?when they will come in, when they will go out. So we are going about investing with an optimistic view that it is not very late that investors are going to come. We are not keeping anything waiting.


Q: Are you sending any divergent kind of trends between HNIs and pure retail? I am talking about differential ticket sizes. Since you talk to both classes of investors and they are both important for generating revenues for you, are you sensing any divergence in behaviour between these two investor classes?


A: No. Surprisingly, even the large institutional investors? revenues, its not that large investors are doing much better?bringing in much more business and smaller investors are less. The trend is more or less same. Of course the very small investors have not participated yet big time in the market. Maybe the first signs are coming from Coal India subscription?maybe some more subscriptions which comes in will wake them up from their non-participation and create some excitement into the market.


I don?t know what will create excitement?maybe index going to the new high, maybe maximum rally in midcaps. Something has to happen before people come in wholesale into the market.

We are the Best share market tips and stock tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume

Mkt likely to continue upward march in 2011: Ridham Desai

Here is expert equity call for the day on how the markets are expected to trade:


Ridham Desai, Morgan Stanley: Indices are approaching all-time peaks and very naturally investors are drawing comparisons with 2007. The market hit its all-time high in January 2008 before it plunged. But the market and the economy are not comparable to the exuberance of 2007 on most counts. Our base case is none of the risk events of 2008 will happen in 2011 and to that extent, the market is likely to continue its upward march in 2011.

We are the Best share market tips and stock tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume

Choksey sees markets surging higher in January, bets on IT

Having corrected already 300 points, I see that possibility of going down of not more than about 100-125 points on Nifty from current levels and that could give a good base to Nifty to get stabilised,? he elaborated.


According to Choksey in the next one-two months we are going to see a good tight range for the Nifty of around 300-350 points and thereafter probably from the middle of December to January we should be seeing a further upside taking place.


Choksey?s top picks in the IT sector are Infosys, TCS, Wipro, Mahindra Satyam and HCL Technologies.


Here is a verbatim transcript of his comments. Also watch the accompanying video.


Q: We have already corrected to 6,000. How much more of a cut are you expecting?


A: The amount of cut that we could probably see is not much from current levels. We have already seen about 300 point kind of a correction which we have seen from the highs in the market. Now whether the market would further go down??it probably to a certain extent spends on the liquidity factor, which is showing some amount of kind of a volatility currently. More importantly because the dollar as a currency is gaining relative strength compared to euro in current times and as a result of which the general tendency of the investors globally would be to stay with the dollar currency and investment in dollars. To an extent you may not see the kind of liquidity which we have seen in recent past and as a result of which it can possibly drag down the market to a certain extent. But having corrected already 300 points, I see that possibility of going down of not more than about 100-125 points on Nifty from current levels and that could possibly give a good base to Nifty to get stabilised.


In fact, I do see that in the next one-two months you are going to see a good tight range happening for the Nifty of around 300-350 points and thereafter probably from the middle of December to the beginning of January or middle of January you should be seeing a further upside taking place. But overall the earning momentum would provide good impetus to the market for future growth as I see it currently.


Q: What have you made of the technology numbers that have come so far? HCL Tech just reported and the growth has been so strong be it HCL Tech, Infosys. How would you play these stocks and what would your preferred picks be?


A: HCL Tech probably on one count to a certain extent disappointed. Maybe the forex loss that I see from the reported numbers, to a certain extent, it?s been on a relatively on higher side maybe this was not factored in by us while working out this numbers. The euro currency may have played its role, looks like at this point of time. I think more important part is that the companies are basically trying to grow in a double-digit and that is very important and this company has also shown that kind of growth at the top-line level. That gives good confidence.


As far as the valuation goes probably they are not very expensively traded like HCL Tech on a forward earning estimate basis is getting somewhere around closer to 17 times whereas average for the midsize-IT companies could be around 16 times, they are not very expensively traded. If they show better promise for the growth at the bottom-line level as well then in my viewpoint there would be some buying interest returning back to likes of HCL Tech or Mahindra Satyam and probably would see more amount of action happening in that particular area.


In frontline IT companies, we do like Infosys, TCS and Wipro but at the same time we don?t see too much of headroom for these companies in given situation unless some amount of inorganic growth takes place. Otherwise the larger opportunity should be see in likes of Mahindra Satyam and HCL Technologies.


Q: What are you thoughts on Oberoi Realty? Where do you see it listing and what is the fair value according to you?


A: On the whole, if you look at this particular company, I like the business model because its one of the better model?it is an asset light model. I like this particular business because they have good amount of properties under execution for which they have demand in Mumbai market. That is why I am positive in this company. But if you are looking at the valuation currently at which they have placed this share, they are not as cheap. Probably they are among the expensive lot as far as the valuation goes. From that perspective I don?t see too much of follow-up buying happening immediately on the listing and maybe you could see between 3-5% kind of a discount happening on this stock over a period of time after listing.


If one gets this stock relatively closer to somewhere around Rs 225-240 levels?that maybe the first entry point even though have to pay some premium to the business model that this company assumes.


Q: What would your thoughts be on both of these Piramal Healthcare and Biocon?both of them news based?


A: I find Biocon quite interesting and definitely the stock could get rerated going forward as well because Pfizer kind of a deal is something that definitely in a short to near-term is a good point and at the same time the assurance to get the higher amount of income also again of USD 150 million over a period of time and that itself is a very good point as far as this company is concerned.


In my viewpoint the way in which insulin market for which they have tied up with Pfizer, I see good amount of prospects happening for Biocon. This company has struggle for long period of time in getting into this kind of developments and probably the better times are going forward ahead for this company. So certainly I would like to have Biocon as far as investment choice is concerned.

We are the Best share market tips and stock tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume

Biocon touched 52week high today, IIFL explains why

The street has given a big thumbs up to the Biocon-Pfizer deal, taking the stock of Biocon to its 52-week high in the first hour of trade today.


According to him, the stock has already done well over the last three-four months including the movement up today, it has already rerated significantly and built-in a lot of upsides into the stock price.


Pathiparampil elaborated that the deal validates Biocon?s biological capabilities from one of the global leaders in the pharma world. He said that people so far were not sure about how big the biosimilar opportunity, especially in the regulated markets is going to play out.


The fact that Pfizer has committed such a big sum into that market highlights that a big pharma company is looking at the biosimilar market taking off and becoming a multibillion market over the next five-ten years, Pathiparampil added.


Biocon and global pharmaceutical major Pfizer have joined hands to deliver insulin treatments worldwide. Biocon will be responsible for the clinical development, manufacturing and supply of these insulin products.


Pfizer is going to make upfront payments totaling USD 200 million. Biocon is eligible to get additional payments of up to USD 150 million.


Here is the verbatim transcipt of his comments. Also watch the accompanying video.


Q: How significant is this development for Biocon?


A: Biocon has got wonderful deal with Pfizer. The deal implies couple of things. First of all it validates Biocon?s biological capabilities from one of the global leaders in the pharma world. It also highlights that the big pharma is committed to the biosimilars market. People so far are not sure about how big the biosimilar opportunity, especially in the regulated markets is going to play out but the fact that Pfizer has committed such a big sum into that market highlights the fact that the big pharma is looking at the biosimilar market taking off and becoming a multibillion market over the next five-ten years.


Q: How much would you need to up estimates for Biocon given this development and possibility of USD 200 million plus flowing in?


A: The immediate change in estimate would be the USD 200 million, which would come in immediately. We need to figure out yet from the company how they are going to recognize that accounting wise but otherwise that money is right away coming in. The remaining USD 150 million of milestone payments I would estimate that to come to the company over the next three-four years. More of that would be back-ended which would coincide with the European and US approvals of these biosimilar products.


Further to that there would be revenues from the sale of actual product of Pfizer as the sales pickup in markets including emerging markets US, Europe etc, which I would think can start as early as tomorrow because in emerging markets the products are already registered and being sold but I would look at significant product revenues accruing to Biocon starting FY14 or so.


Q: Its probably a bit while away but how significant could be the royalty payments linked to the eventual sales of this product because right now we are talking about milestones and upfront payments but there is some sales linkage payment as well. By when do you think that might kick in and how significant could that be given the size of this biosimilar product for insulin?


A: There is going to be certainly some sales related payments. We haven?t got a clear structure of whether it will be in the form of royalties or whether it would be just transfer pricing because Biocon is going to manufacture the product for Pfizer so the entire payment could be build-in as a transfer pricing structure where Biocon could build-in its margins into that price.


But those could start from tomorrow onwards if Pfizer decides to start selling immediately in the emerging markets but I wouldn?t look at a very significant contribution from those payments till second half of FY13 or FY14 by when I would expect to see the European Union approval for the recombinant insulin.


Q: What about oral insulin? When does that start kicking in now given that the biosimilar product is already in the market--that?s another trigger waiting to happen?


A: Oral insulin is totally different piece altogether. Biosimilar insulin essentially a generic drug development compared to chemical generics, biologic generics is much more complex process. Having said that, it is still a generic version. It is a repetition of what something has already been proven by some other company in the market. Whereas oral insulin is more like new chemical entity in its own. So it has to go through a very detailed clinical development programme which involves multiple phases of studies and multiple trails in each phases.


I would look at it as a more long-term play. I would think that till we see a more detailed phase two data from studies, it?s too early to comment on that product and it is very different from the biosimilar play.


Q: Do you think Biocon has a good chance of getting rerated now on the back of this development because of potential earnings stream opening up over the next three-four years. Do you think it might even command a higher valuation plan?


A: The stock has already done well certainly if you look at the stock over the last three-four months including the movement up today, it has already rerated significantly and built-in a lot of upsides into the stock price but still fundamentally I do remain positive on the stock, this is a major development that can throw up significant opportunities for the company and given that the potential, the capabilities of the company or validated it could even throw up more surprises down-the-line.

We are the Best share market tips and stock tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume

PL sees Nifty slipping to 5750, bets on auto stocks

Nifty may slip to 5750. ?It may take a little more time, spending between a few 100 points here and there or probably it will try and touch something like 5,750 or between 5,800 or so. In terms of Nifty we would probably hold for a while before jumping in, though stock specifically we have been continuously buying,? she added.


However, overall in the medium to long-term, she continues to remain bullish.
Vora is also positive on September quarter results posted by most of the auto stocks.


?From the earnings point of view I feel Bajaj Auto?s numbers would be really good. Mahindra will also have good numbers because in this quarter, most of them benefited out of the slightly softer commodity prices and huge volumes growth. We will remain cautious, in terms of results for Hero Honda and Maruti,? .


Below is a verbatim transcript of her interview. Also watch the accompanying video for more.


Q: Are you buying the Nifty at 6,000 or are you predicting a slightly deeper correction from the small nick that we have had already?


A: It may take a little more time, spending between a few 100 points here and there or probably it will try and touch something like 5,750 or between 5,800 or so. In terms of Nifty we would probably hold for a while before jumping in, though stock specifically we have been continuously buying. Overall in the medium to long-term, we continue to remain bullish.


Q: What have you made of the banking numbers that have come out so far? The numbers have been good but the stocks have been tepid?


A: The first quarter numbers of banking were much above expectations, in terms of net interest margins (NIMs), asset quality and provisioning requirement reducing. But, this quarter results are just in-line with expectations.


If you see the issues going forward, in terms of pension liabilities, banks will have to make third quarter starting huge provisions over the next five years. As we head towards that on the backdrop that the banking sector had run-up so much and also that it is now almost 27-28% of the Nifty, it will bear the brunt of that. That?s more a technical correction which is seeping in because of the usual results and impending issues in the backdrop of a good run-up.


Q: What are your thoughts on the premarket opening session? Some random rates are what we saw yesterday. How would you read into this?


A: It will take a little time before things settle down and start being reflective of the opening session and people are still probably getting adjusted to it at the moment. They probably don?t carry a lot of weight at the moment.


Q: What did you make of Larsen & Toubro?s numbers? Are you relieved that finally there is some sort of traction that we are seeing in execution in terms of orders for L&T?


A: Absolutely correct. Most of the us are not only relieved but are happy that in a quarter where the number of days when it rained were the highest, in terms of execution it has caught up very well and that will lead to a good overall up-gradation in full year numbers.


Q: Do you track Sesa Goa and how do you think the stock will react to its results?


A: We do track it but I haven?t had a chance to look at the results as of now. What I can make out is that the volume for this quarter is nothing great and realization also is down. The bigger worry for Sesa Goa would rather still be the apportionment of a large part of money for a slightly different business and I don?t think that?s going to go in a hurry.


Q: What would you do with some of the technology stocks now? How much of a concern is the currency for you and would you still continue to hold this space?


A: Currency is definitely one of the concerns and it will keep on accentuating as we move forward. We think some of these flows from FIIs are more secular rather than tactical. As we approach next year maybe once again the new limit for debt will come up. A lot of money will try to enter India.


Apart from that, the only thing which goes in favour if at all is the fact that they are huge cash generating machines. We feel from hereon the market will perform and not outperform.


Q: From the entire auto space what would your best pick be, what would your top preference be and how would you approach earnings season?


A: From the earnings point of view I feel Bajaj Auto?s numbers would be really good. Apart from the topline growth, margins also would expand. We think they will continue to post very robust numbers probably ahead of market and analyst expectations.


Mahindra will also have good numbers because in this quarter, most of them benefited out of the slightly softer commodity prices and huge volumes growth. We will remain cautious, in terms of results for Hero Honda and Maruti.

We are the Best share market tips and stock tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume

Expect rupee will appreciate most by 2011end: UBS

Here is expert equity call for the day on how the markets are expected to trade:


Niall MacLeod, UBS: Currencies have played a crucial role in equity returns this year and we expect it to continue. Our economists expect the rupee will appreciate the most by 2011-end, one of the reasons why we continue to like the market notwithstanding valuation.

We are the Best share market tips and stock tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume

China\'s monetary policy remains stimulative: Nomura

Here is expert equity call for the day on how the markets are expected to trade:

Sean Darby, Nomura: The surprise term and lending rate hike by the PBOC may unsettle equity markets in the short-term, but monetary policy remains stimulative with real interest rates negative. Equity markets ought to have little to fear from the rate hike.

We are the Best share market tips and stock tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume

Fed likely to embark on another round of QE: Citi

Here is expert equity call for the day on how the markets are expected to trade:


Markus Rosgen, Citi: The Fed is likely to embark on another round of quantitative easing to help ensure the economic recovery and create jobs. A consequence of this extraordinary policy is a weaker dollar. The Dollar Index is now close to 40-year lows. Further dollar weakness should be positive for Emerging Market equities. We have upgraded China to Overweight and India to Neutral.

We are the Best share market tips and stock tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Zensar Tech Q2 cons net profit down at Rs 27.5 cr

Zensar Technologies has announced its second quarter results of FY11. It has reported consolidated net profit of Rs 27.5 crore against Rs 32.5 crore (QoQ).
Consolidated net sales rose to Rs 263 crore from Rs 251 crore (QoQ).


The company's trailing 12-month (TTM) EPS was at Rs 21.06 per share. (Jun, 2010). The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 7.67. The latest book value of the company is Rs 68.08 per share.



At current value, the price-to-book value of the company was 2.37. The dividend yield of the company was 3.4%.

We are the Best share market tips and stock tips  provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume in ..

Cadila Healthcare a market performer: Karvy Stock Broking

Cadila Healthcare with a target of Rs 726 in its October 20, 2010 research report.


Cadila Healthcare Q2FY11 net revenues grew 21.2% y-o-y to Rs 11.1 billion higher than our estimates of Rs 10.5 billion. Domestic Formulations (DF) business witnessed 18.6% y-o-y increase to Rs 4668 million higher than our estimate of Rs 4516 million. US business increased 40.8% y-o-y to Rs 2258 million during Q2FY11 on the back of higher market share gains in existing products in the US market. Revenues in the US business were significantly higher than our estimates.?


?Cadila's EBITDA margins of 21.9% were lower than our estimates during Q2FY11 primarily due to other operating income reported at Rs 103.7 million vis-a-vis our expectation of Rs 290 million. Lower depreciation and tax expenses led to higher than expected net profit of Rs 1708.4 million (our estimate Rs 1579.7 million).?


?We have upgraded our revenues by 2.5 % for FY 2011E to Rs 44.5 billion and by 3.2 % to Rs 52.2 billion for FY 12E on back of better performance in domestic formulations, US revenues and consumer business. We ugrade our FY 2011E EPS estimates by 5.1 % to Rs 31 and our FY 2012E estimates by 5.2 % to Rs 38.2. We upgrade our price target by 6.6 % to Rs 726 based on 19x FY 2012E. We maintain our Marketperformer rating on the stock with a target of Rs 726,? Karvy Stock Broking research report.


We are the Best share market tips and stock tips  provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume in .

Sunday, October 17, 2010

Yen strength prompts Toyota to consider new Mexico plant

Toyota Motor Corp is considering building its second car plant in Mexico to boost local output due to the yen's strength, the Asahi newspaper reported on Saturday.


The yen's rise to a 15-year high against the dollar is threatening the competitiveness of Japanese exports and prompting manufacturers to consider shifting more output outside Japan.


Toyota, which makes pickup trucks mainly for the US  stock market in Mexico, plans to produce compact cars for North America at the new factory from around 2013, the paper said, without citing sources.


The carmaker now exports compact cars to the region from Japan, but strength in the yen is pressuring its profits, the Asahi said. The paper also said Toyota will respond to growing demand for low-cost compact cars in Mexico with the new plant.


Toyota is also considering halting exports from Japan of the Collora sedan from around 2013 due to the strong yen, Japanese media reported earlier the week.

. We are the Best share market tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume .

Market cues: NSE FO Open Int up by Rs 6098cr

Market cues:


Results today: L&T, Essar Oil, HDFC, Sesa Goa


Coal India IPO
Issue of 63.1 crore shrs at Rs 225-245 per share


Stock market to have a 15-min pre-open call auction


NSE F&O Open Int was up by Rs 6,098 crore at Rs 1.78 lakh crore


As per provisional data of October 15, FIIs were net sellers of Rs 113 crore; DIIs were net sellers of Rs 1053 crore in cash markets. FIIs were net sellers of Rs 179 crore in F&O.

. We are the Best stock market tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume .

Godrej Properties may raise funds in 2 years via QIP

Godrej Properties? September quarter net profit was down at Rs 32 crore versus Rs 44.6 crore. However, its net sales were up at Rs 20.1 crore versus Rs 5.4 crore.


The company has said that revenue growth has been strong in the first half and the momentum is likely to continue in the remaining part of the year.


Godrej Properties is expecting to see strong demand for residential properties. Saying that that it will announce new projects in Q3FY10, the company informed that it is finalising two redevelopment projects in Mumbai.


It is likely to raise funds in 18-24 months via Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP) route.

We are the Best share market tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume in stock market .

IPL a great property, will last through crisis: Nita Ambani

Be it Modi?s fund forgery or Board of Control for Cricket in India?s (BCCI) various warnings, nothing is going to deter the spirit of Indian Premier League?s (IPL) teams. The team owners are confident to sail past through the crisis and once again get back the glorious day.


Nita Ambani, wife of billionaire industrialist Mukesh Ambani and co-owner of IPL Mumbai Indians said that IPL is a great property and will last through this crisis,

In a euphoric mood, she said, ?We have enjoyed the whole IPL challenge. Mumbai Indians have helped discover domestic talent.?

We are the Best share market tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume in stock market .

A quick health check of MFIs

Less than two months back a microfinance company SKS issued its shares at a pricey 24 times its earnings and what's even better traded on the exchanges at a 40% premium to its offer price. SKS appeared to be teaching Indian banks, regulators and NBFCs a thing or two about how to reach banking access to the millions. Now, in the past two weeks all the glitter is gone. A boardroom power struggle in SKS and high stakes in the form ESOPs created doubts over the quality and intentions of the MFIs.


Incidents of suicides in Andhra apparently because of harassment by recovery agents of MFIs have drawn the attention of regulators and governments to the unsavoury practices of this industry,


The Rs  30,000 core microfinance industry came under severe censure this week. First it was the SKS saga which exposed the lack of corporate governance in the first publicly listed MFI in India . The tussle between promoter Vikram Akula  and  former CEO Suresh Gurmani was not over principles but over power


Sources said another point of discord was that the outgoing CEO was entitled to Rs 35 crore by way of ESOPs and severance while Akula was only willing to give him Rs 25 crore  ( sks  money lending) these vast sums of ESOPs and the power struggle clearly tarnished the image of an industry that is supposed to benefit the poorest.


Coincidentally, in the same week, Andhra Pradesh, the birthplace of the MFI movement saw a spate of suicides apparently because of harassment by MFI recovery agents.


R Subrahmanyam, Principal Secy - Rural Development, AP, "We are not counting bodies, that's what I?ve been telling. It's not relevant as to how many people have committed suicide. Fact is that there are several cases of suicides and there is fair amount of distress. So problem exists, it has to be tackled. So we are focused on that."


An irate state government has drafted an ordinance to regulate all activities of MFIs. While the ordinance is not in the public domain, it will ask MFIs to register themselves and their borrowers with the state government and subject to a strict code on recovery. Violation of the rules or harassment of borrowers can invite stiff penalty of fines and imprisonment.


Subrahmanyam added, "Naturally, if you molest a person or you push a person to prostitution and abet one to commit suicide, its' an offence under Indian Penal Code and it's the responsibility of the law and order department to pursue such cases. So I am sure they'll be doing their job."


It is believed the ordinance coupled even cap interest rates charged by MFIs at 16%.


Most MFIs charge between 26-30% . They argue that with their cost of funds at 12% and operating costs at 11%, an interest rate of 28-30% is needed for survival. The central government, which is also working on an MFI act,  agrees with this math and believes that any effort to cap rates may kill the industry.


Despite this support from the centre, the MFI industry looks set for hard times. Firstly, it may look for legal options to resist the demand of the state government that they register with the local authorities. Even if it wins, political and local targeting may continue. Secondly the industry  has grown rapidly in some places with middlemen procuring borrowers and pocketing a margin. Some allege that the MFI industry may not be able to sustain growth and civilised recovery without these middlemen. Third is the more serious issue of interest rates. Faced with all round opposition MFIs  are making noises that they will lower their rates.


Vikram Akula, Founder and Chairman, SKS Microfinance said, ?We charge 26% anywhere in the state and that's our interest rate. If the RBI says we would like you to reduce it to Rs 2  we are ready to do so.


This move will hurt future profits. Also it will not stave off constant surveillance, a RBI committee has already been appointed to look into the sector.


D Subbarao, Governor, RBI said, ?We appointed a board sub committee to look into the functioning of MFI sector. What bearing they have on RBI?s policies so that we can take further action if necessary.?


Regulatory surveillance and public focus can drain enthusiasm and profits of the MFIs. If this happens, private equity investors and stock markets will also begin to leg it out of the sector. Yet the sector has some truly committed professionals.


In the days to come the challenge before these  professionals is can they succeed in building a profit making model within the constraints of reasonable rates and normal collection practices and thus continue to attract private capital. Or will the MFIs experiment in capital markets be a failure.


We are the Best share market tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume in stock market .

Franklin Templeton declares dividend in its 5 Funds

Franklin Templeton Investments (India), has announced dividends in Franklin India Opportunities Fund (FIOF), Franklin Infotech Fund (FIF) and FT India Life Stage Fund of Funds (20?s Plan, 30?s Plan & 40?s Plan) as given below.


Name of the fund


Amount of Dividend Per Unit (Rs.)

Franklin India Opportunities Fund (FIOF)FT India Life Stage Fund of Funds- 20?s Plan (FTLF ? 20?s Plan)FT India Life Stage Fund of Funds- 30?s Plan (FTLF ? 30?s Plan)FT India Life Stage Fund of Funds- 40?s Plan (FTLF ? 40?s Plan)


# Inclusive of statutory levy


The record date for the dividend is October 22, 2010. All investors registered in the Dividend Plans of the respective funds as on October 22, 2010 will receive the dividend. (Check out - Recent MF Dividends)


Franklin India Opportunities Fund is an open end diversified growth scheme aims to generate capital appreciation by capitalising on the long-term growth opportunities in the Indian economy. 


Franklin Infotech Fund is an open end growth fund with an objective to provide long term capital appreciation by investing primarily in Information Technology industry. 


FT India Life Stage Fund of Funds is an open end Fund of Funds scheme with an objective to generate superior risk adjusted returns to investors in line with their chosen asset allocation.

We are the Best share market tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume in stock market .

Fortis MF announces indirect change in control of AMC

Fortis Mutual Fund has informed that subsequent to a global restructuring of Fortis Group, Fortis Investment Management is now a part of BNP Paribas. There has been an indirect change in the control of Fortis Investment Management and Fortis Trustee. Consequent to this change, Fortis Mutual Fund shall be renamed as BNP Paribas Mutual Fund; the AMC shall be renamed as BNP Paribas Asset Management and the Trustee Company shall be renamed as BNP Paribas Trustee India Pvt Ltd.


As a part of the internal re-organization within the BNP Paribas group, BNP Paribas Investment Partners S.A., 99.83% owned by BNP Paribas, acquired 100% of the capital and voting rights of Fortis Investment Management NV/SA (FIM) from Fortis Bank SA /NA (84.67%) and from BGL BNP Paribas (15.33%) in cash on April 01, 2010. The name of FIM was changed to BNP Paribas Investment Partners BE Holding S.A. on 29 March 2010 and the name of the director's parent company of sponsor was changed from Fortis Investment NL Holding N.V. to BNP Paribas Investment partners NL holding NV on April 6, 2010.



BNP Paribas Investment Partners is the dedicated asset management business line of the BNP Paribas Group. BNP Paribas Investment Partners offers a full range of investment management services to institutional and retail clients around the world. Around 1000 investment professionals work across our network of some 60 investment centers, each of which is a specialist in a particular asset class type of product. With total asset under management of EUR 533 billion as of 30 June 2010, BNP Paribas Investment Partners is the third largest asset MANAGER IN Europe and the ninth largest in the world. In India, this brand would be represented by BNP Paribas Mutual Fund.


On 01 April 2010, the operations of Fortis Investment were merged with those of BNP Paribas Investment Partners. Fortis Investments' investment experts and international locations were a natural and complementary fit with BNP Paribas Investments' partners whose flexible partnership model has proven successful in integrating new expertise in the past. Together, the combined company will provide the investors with an even broader range of investment solutions and even better client service than before.


Accordingly, all existing Schemes of Fortis Mutual Fund shall be renamed as under with effect from Tuesday, October 19, 2010:


BNP Paribas Opportunities FundBNP Paribas Dividend Yield FundFortis Tax Advantage Plan (ELSS) BNP Paribas Tax Advantage Plan (ELSS)BNP Paribas Future Leaders FundFortis Sustainable Development Fund BNP Paribas Sustainable Development FundBNP Paribas Monthly Income PlanBNP Paribas Short Term Income FundFortis Fixed Term Fund -(Series X -X )** BNP Paribas Fixed Term Fund (Series X - X )**


** X = Number of all such schemes / plans as are in existence as on the effective date of name change of the entity / company.


Note: Change in name of the Schemes shall not result in any change in the basic characteristics and fundamental attributes of the Schemes, including the investment objective of respective schemes.

We are the Best share market tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume in stock market .

From FM to priest: Celebrating Pujo with Pranab Mukherjee

It's Durga Puja, and it?s when Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee heads home to turn priest and philosopher. We have seen Mukherjee present budgets in parliament, speaking for hours on matters of policy and governance. But the truly remarkable fact is that he is probably the only Finance Minister who has equal expertise reciting the Chandi Homam.


From policymaker to a priest, we take you on a journey with Pranab Mukherjee, amongst the tallest of contemporary Indian politician, as he deeply balances the role of a devotee, of a loving father and a caring brother.



Our journey starts from Kolkata. Through the lush green fields and winding roads of rural West Bengal to Pranab Mukherjee's ancestral house at Mirati where he performs Durga Puja every year.


The Durga Puja starts on the sixth day of the Devi Paksha, the 15-day period when goddess Durga comes to her father's home from Kailash Parbat where she lives with her husband Lord Shiva. This is also the reason that the daughters of the house come to visit their paternal home during the Puja days.


At Pranab Mukherjee?s house at Mirati in the district of Birbhum, West Bengal, the tradition was started by his grandfather in 1896 and has continued to this day.


The finance minister spoke on a range of issues including Pujo celebrations at home, double-digit growth on the GDP and his targets for the current fiscal.


Below is a verbatim transcript.


Q: Tell us something about the 115-year old tradition?


A: When this Puja was introduced about 115 years ago by my grandfather, he did not make it mandatory. My father was a political activist, freedom fighter. My grandfather told my father, I know your life is not following normal routine. But I will be happy if you can find four days for this occasion. My grandfather did it, my father did it. After my father my elder brother did it.


My father was the only son of his parents. After the death of my elder brother in 1983, my father told me that if you can do it, you try to do it. It is not that he said that you will have to do it. It is not mandatory. So I thought that let me maintain the family tradition. That is the compulsion which brings me here every year. But sometimes if there is a pressing engagement it is not that I will have any feeling of superstitions that I could not do it. I think 3?4 times I missed it. When I was foreign minister, in two terms, twice it synchronized with UN general assembly and so I could not come.


Q: We are about a fortnight away from Diwali, and as we move into the New Year, for the New Year what are your aspirations and hopes and your vision as Finance Minister?


A: As Finance Minister, my ambition is I must have some check on the prices right now which is a matter of concern particularly of the daily commodities. I must break the double digit barrier, barrier to double digits growth which is absolutely necessary.


This time I wanted that our developmental expenditure should be spent fully whichever has been allotted at the time of budget. That's why in the first supplementary I have allotted upfront expenditure so that the full working season can be utilized by the various ministries and state governments. I am making that experiment for the first time.


The tax reforms which I have introduced like direct tax code, I hope with the cooperation of the parliamentary standing committee and with others we will be able to get it legislated in the next session of parliament and I can introduce it from April 1.


For GST, I am engaged in building up consensus with our friends. I will try to do that with the various political parties and state governments so we shall have to buildup the consensus.


So to break the barrier of double digit GDP growth, to contain prices particularly of the food items and essential commodities at a moderate level and to fulfill the tax reform exercises which we have begun.


Even in my budget speech I prayed to Lord Indra that I would not like to have a situation where my production will go down, industrial production or agricultural production weather will be hostile.


Q: One group of people who are probably not so happy this festive season are exporters because of currency appreciation, FII inflows are at record highs. Do you think there is policy required to check this?


A: Let us wait for some more time and see. Of course exporters are affected to some extent because of the appreciation of rupee. But in the financial world you will have to say sometimes you may have to make some trade off. But if it goes beyond a point, naturally I do feel the RBI will intervene at the appropriate time.


I believe this level of financial expansion, fiscal expansion is not tolerable over a longer period of time and as it is not sustainable. Sooner than later we should come back to the path of fiscal consolidation. So we are trying to come back to the path of fiscal consolidation.


Q: Dussehra is just two days away. We celebrate every year the victory of Lord Rama over Ravana, the victory of good over evil. But this year there is special significance because of the Babri verdict. Do you think that Indians have reacted with great maturity to what has happened?


A: Of course the initial reaction and response has shown the maturity. There are certain angles which will have to be looked into. But as the Home Minister pointed out and many other shared his view, this judgement is not the final say in this matter because there is scope of making appeal to the higher court. So it is better to wait till the highest court gives its verdict.


Q: What are your hopes from people from people from both sides of the divide?


A: I think it will be better to accept the situation. Our position is very clear, if there be an acceptable solution to both sides, agreed solution that is the best. But if it fails then we have stated that the court judgement has to be accepted.


Q: What do you think has been your biggest achievement and are there any parts of you which still feel unfulfilled and incomplete? Dreams that you think you still have to achieve?


A: I do not evaluate my achievement or my success. I leave that to others. But I remember this much and that is part of my life which I have inherited from my father, which is that whatever you get you try to utilize that, and give your best to discharge that duty. If something better is in store, it will come. But don't be discontented. If there is discontent, then you cannot give your best in the job that has been assigned to you. That you follow.

We are the Best share market tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume in stock market .

Accumulate LIC Housing Fin: Emkay Global Financial Services

LIC Housing Finance (LICHF) has reported strong 63% growth in NII at Rs 3.1 billion driven by 36% growth in advances and 35bps expansion in spreads. Stable spreads/NIMs are positive surprise ?. The growth in sanctions to individuals remained strong at 28% yoy, although the D/S ratio was lower at 67% due to as LICHF funded mostly under construction properties ? The asset profile improved as the gross NPAs were down by 22% yoy and net NPAs were down 54% yoy. The gross and net NPAs stood at 0.7% and 0.1% respectively.?


LICHF has strong growth in the balance sheet has resulted in pressure on the employee costs, the same has been mitigated by lower establishment and advertisement expenses. With Opex controlled at 13% of the net income, the operating profit grew by 59.6% yoy. The asset quality remained robust as the gross and net NPAs stood stable at 0.7% and 0.1% of advances compared with 1.3% and 0.6% in Q2FY10. On yoy basis, the gross and net NPAs have declined by 22% and 50%.?


?As we had highlighted earlier, the growth numbers have picked up and likely to go even higher in Q3FY11. Valuations at 2.7x FY12E ABV look expensive in short term. However, strong balance sheet, earnings growth keep long term story intact. Maintain ACCUMULATE with 18-mth target price of Rs 1490 valuing stock at 2.5x of average ABV for FY12E/FY13E,? says Emkay Global Financial Services research report.


We are the Best share market tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume in stock market .

Unichem Labs Q2 net profit up at Rs 34.71 cr

Unichem Laboratories has announced its second quarter results. The company's Q2 net profit was up at Rs 34.71 crore versus Rs 33.97 crore.


Its net sales were up at Rs 200 crore versus Rs 173 crore.



The company's trailing 12-month (TTM) EPS was at Rs 37.40 per share. (Jun, 2010). The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 15.06. The latest book value of the company is Rs 169.30 per share.


At current value, the price-to-book value of the company was 3.33. The dividend yield of the company was 1.78%.

We are the Best share market tips provider in India for Intraday trading of cash , Nifty future and Nifty Options.We give only sure shot tips so that you can trade with high volume in stock market .